Predictions For 2024 Us Elections

Predictions For 2024 Us Elections. Trump wins 49 times out of 100. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

Developed with the assistance of a team of political scientists led by andrew gelman of columbia university, our model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning. Use it as a starting point to create and.